Many people around the world play at online casinos, and that's
fine if it's your only source of gambling. However, online
casinos are nowhere near as close to the real thing when it
comes to simulation. Take Craps for example. The casino
determines what number rolls by using a random number generator.
However, just how random is random? If you have been in a
casino, you know that every single person at a table has a
unique rolling pattern. Some stack the dice and casually vault
them into the air. Others shake them up and rocket them to the
back wall, while other frequently launch the dice off the table
or fall short of the back wall. There are even players who
change their rolling pattern every roll or point.
An online casino does not have the ability to simulate this.
Sure, they can manipulate the random number generator, but
there's still no way to accurately simulate table action. Having
programmed, I know that a random number generator is not all
that random. Worse, if the computer simply "picks a number", it
is not even a proper setup to being with. Let's keep looking at
Craps. Does the casino have a random number generator that
simply picks a number between one and twelve? If so, all the
numbers have an even shot at coming out, which is against true
probability. Perhaps they list out all probable combinations and
then the computer selects one. This would be a little more
accurate, probability wise, but it still lacks the real
randomness of live action--and weird events are more likely to
ensue.
What I'm about to tell you is true and happens more frequently
that one would imagine. A tester recently played at an online
casino (Craps) to monitor number frequency in the field. Within
the span of just 150 rolls, the computer rolled 11 non-field
numbers in a row and then followed it up a handful of rolls
later by rolling 12 non-field numbers in a row. What's the big
deal you ask? Well, first, the field has a 44.5% chance of
winning on every roll and second; the probability of throwing 11
non-field rolls in a row is .0015%. The probability of throwing
12 non-field numbers in a row is .0008%. These events should
happen once every 667 rolls and once every 1176 rolls
respectively, yet both where seen within a handful of rolls from
each other within the 150 rolls monitored.
But wait, there's more. Within these same, now historic, 150
rolls, a six was not thrown for 13-16 rolls 5 times. The
probability of not throwing a six 13 times is 14.5% (9% for 16
rolls)--this happened 5 times in 150 rolls. The same happened to
the eight--in fact--there were two instances where an eight was
not thrown for 18-20 times. The probability of this happening is
5-7% and it happened twice.
When you add all of these things together, you get a more
accurate picture of just how unrealistic random number
generators are for simulating real casino action. I am not
trying to scare you away from playing. In fact, money can be
made and fun can be had at online casinos. However, you need to
realize that you are playing in a different environment with
different rules. You can't go chasing bets thinking they are
overdue, mathematically, to come in, because this is a different
world with a different way of producing outcomes. Playing
strategies that you would use in a real live casino might not be
applicable in an online casino. Read more at WiseBettor.com.
About the author:
WiseBettor.com is full of articles on
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strategies, gambling reviews and more from an ex-professional
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